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DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC (DY)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 FY2025 delivered solid growth and margin expansion: contract revenues rose 13.9% to $1.085B, Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 89 bps to 10.7%, and Adjusted EPS increased 48.1% to $1.17; backlog ended at $7.760B, underscoring visibility into demand .
  • Mix effects included $67.9M of storm restoration and $61.5M from acquired businesses; organic revenue growth was 7.4% after excluding acquired revenues not owned in both periods .
  • Management issued FY2026 revenue growth guidance of 10–13% and Q1 FY2026 guidance for revenues of $1.16–$1.20B, Adjusted EBITDA $130.6–$140.6M, and diluted EPS $1.50–$1.73; no storm restoration or BEAD revenue is included in FY2026 outlook .
  • A new $150M share repurchase authorization adds capital return optionality; combined with raised FY2026 revenue outlook (to 12.5–15.4%) in May, guidance and buyback comprise the principal stock reaction catalysts post-quarter .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong growth and profitability: Q4 revenues up 13.9% to $1.085B; Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 10.7%; Adjusted EPS up 48.1% to $1.17 .
  • Strategic pipeline building: management highlighted Verizon awards (maintenance and fiber-to-the-home), a ramp in Lumen long-haul “over-pull” fiber work, and robust hyperscaler dialogues, positioning Dycom for AI-driven long-haul builds in 2026+ .
  • Cash conversion improved: Q4 operating cash flow of $328.2M; DSO declined to 114 days from 120 days YoY; free cash flow focus reiterated for FY2026 .

Quote: “We delivered strong growth in revenues, profitability and cash flows… we are optimistic about the prospects for our business and our industry” – Dan Peyovich, CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Weather and mix complexities: quarter included $67.9M of storm restoration revenue, complicating organic comparisons and adding volatility to quarterly cadence .
  • Margin sensitivity to investment: SG&A has been growing to support scale and acquisitions; management acknowledged reinvestment may temper near-term operating leverage while positioning for multiyear growth .
  • Estimates context unavailable: S&P Global consensus data could not be retrieved for comparison this quarter; investors should rely on company guidance until estimates can be refreshed (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates error].

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q3 2025Q4 2025
Contract Revenues ($USD Billions)$0.9525 $1.2720 $1.0845
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$93.7 $170.7 $116.4
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)9.8% 13.4% 10.7%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.79 $2.37 $1.11
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.79 $2.68 $1.17
Net Income ($USD Millions)$23.4 $69.8 $32.7
Storm Restoration Revenues ($USD Millions)$0.0 $46.3 $67.9

Segment/customer mix and concentration

ItemQ4 2024Q3 2025Q4 2025
Top 5 Customers (% of Revenues)58.6% 55.7% 56.7%
AT&T Revenues ($USD Millions)$162.7 $265.6 $251.4
All Other Customers Revenues ($USD Millions)$413.7 $563.8 $469.4

Key Performance Indicators

KPIQ4 2024Q3 2025Q4 2025
Backlog ($USD Billions)N/AN/A$7.760
DSO (days)120 119 114
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$325.1 $65.8 $328.2
Notional Net Debt ($USD Millions)N/A$1,089.7 $857.3
Liquidity ($USD Millions)N/A$462.8 $695.2
Share Repurchases (Shares; $USD Millions)N/AN/A200,000; $35.9

Non-GAAP adjustments called out by management included stock-based compensation modification tied to CEO transition, acquisition integration costs, and loss on debt extinguishment; these are reconciled in the press release tables .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total Contract Revenues GrowthFY2026+10% to +13% vs FY2025 $5.290B to $5.425B (+12.5% to +15.4%) Raised
Contract RevenuesQ1 FY2026$1.16B to $1.20B $1.16B to $1.20B Maintained
Adjusted EBITDAQ1 FY2026$130.6M to $140.6M $130.6M to $140.6M Maintained
Diluted EPSQ1 FY2026$1.50 to $1.73 $1.50 to $1.73 Maintained
Storm Restoration in FY2026 OutlookFY2026Excluded Excluded Maintained
BEAD in FY2026 OutlookFY2026Excluded Excluded Maintained
Capital Expenditures (net of proceeds)FY2026N/A$220M to $230M New detail
Supplemental (Q1 FY2026)Q1 FY2026N/AAmortization $12.0M; SBC $7.8M; Interest $14.7M; Tax rate 26.0%; Diluted shares 29.4M New detail
Share Repurchase Authorization18 monthsPrior program had ~$55M remaining New $150M authorization approved Increased

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4 FY2025)Trend
AI/hyperscaler long-haul fiberIndustry seeing “highest level of interest in national deployments… in the last 25 years” (AI data centers) ; pipeline building and acquisition of Black & Veatch wireless assets to position for modernization Lumen long-haul over-pull work commenced and ramping; other IFPs announced ~5,100 route miles; management sees largest revenue opportunities in calendar 2026+ Strengthening pipeline; early revenue ramp; multi-year opportunity
Fiber-to-the-home (FTTH)Massive fiber deployments deemed irreversible; customers funding incremental fiber over several years Customers added >35M passings in 2024; Verizon awards extended and expanded; programs multi-year to 2030 Accelerating deployment velocity
BEAD/state programsBEAD is a $40B generational opportunity; public capital support rising >$1B awarded across 9 states in Q4; FY2026 outlook excludes BEAD; timing uncertain under new administration State programs active; BEAD timing remains uncertain
Wireless equipment replacementAcquisition expands wireless footprint; expected FY2026 contribution $250–$275M AT&T wireless equipment replacement ramp “continues to meet expectations”; wireless ~7% of Q4 revenues Ramping execution into FY2026
Cash flow/DSODSO 117–119 days; liquidity strong DSO improved to 114; Q4 operating cash flow $328.2M; FCF a priority in FY2026 Improving cash conversion

Management Commentary

  • Strategic positioning: “We believe Dycom remains uniquely positioned to capitalize on the significant tailwinds… our strategy remains consistent… comprehensive footprint… highest level of service” .
  • AI and long-haul fiber outlook: “Customer dialogue around AI digital infrastructure needs remains robust… the most significant revenue opportunities for the long haul market will occur in calendar 2026 and beyond” .
  • FTTH momentum: “Our customers… added more than 35 million incremental passings… we believe fiber to the home will continue to be a significant growth driver… awarded new markets for Verizon” .
  • Capital allocation and FCF: “We remain committed to a balanced approach… organic growth augmented by M&A and share repurchases… improving free cash flow continues to be a priority” .
  • Quality as a brand: “We strive every day to be a partner that delivers quality… from day 1 to day done… we deliver on our commitments” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance basis clarified: FY2026 +10–13% growth is off reported FY2025, which included $114.2M storm; FY2026 excludes storm and BEAD revenue .
  • Verizon awards nature: mix of maintenance and FTTH; not related to prior Fiber One program .
  • Margin outlook: No observed downward pressure; operating leverage expected as growth continues, with reinvestment into innovation and growth where appropriate .
  • Organic vs storm cadence: Storm work occurred throughout Q4; organic trajectory tied to >35M incremental passings and emerging hyperscaler projects .
  • AI fiber opportunity breadth: Work moving beyond over-pull to new routes; conversations with hyperscalers are increasingly active .
  • Free cash flow and leverage: DSO improved by 6 days YoY; net leverage ~1.5x, supporting growth and capital allocation flexibility .
  • Wireless revenue share: ~7% of Q4 revenues; focus on equipment replacement ramp .
  • CapEx: Q4 gross ~$68M; FY2026 net CapEx outlook $220–$230M .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 FY2025 (EPS, revenue, EBITDA, target price, recommendation) were unavailable due to retrieval limitations at the time of analysis; as a result, formal “vs. consensus” comparisons cannot be presented for this quarter. Investors should anchor on company-reported results and guidance until estimates are refreshed [GetEstimates error].
  • Where estimates are referenced in future updates, we will default to S&P Global data and clearly indicate beats/misses.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Demand visibility is strong: $7.760B backlog, improved Q4 cash conversion (DSO to 114), and raised FY2026 revenue outlook (12.5–15.4%) support multi-quarter execution and top-line expansion .
  • AI-driven long-haul fiber is a multiyear TAM: early work underway (Lumen over-pull), with route mile announcements from other operators; management expects larger revenue contribution beginning calendar 2026 .
  • FTTH remains the core growth engine: >35M passings added in 2024 across customers and expanded Verizon awards point to sustained deployment velocity into FY2026/2030 .
  • Mix tailwinds and volatility: Storm restoration ($67.9M in Q4) boosted the quarter, but normalized FY2026 outlook excludes storm, sharpening the lens on underlying growth drivers .
  • Margin trajectory constructive: EBITDA margin improved YoY (10.7% vs 9.8%); management sees no downward pressure, with operating leverage possible as growth scales, albeit with reinvestment into innovation and capacity .
  • Capital return and balance sheet: New $150M buyback authorization alongside low net leverage (~1.5x) and ample liquidity ($695M) provide optionality for shareholder returns and growth investment .
  • Near-term trading implications: Q1 FY2026 guide implies continued revenue/margin strength; monitor AI fiber award cadence, FTTH build velocity, and update to BEAD timing for catalysts; lack of consensus comparison this quarter suggests price action will key off guidance, backlog, and capital return announcements .