DI
DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC (DY)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 delivered solid growth and margin expansion: contract revenues rose 13.9% to $1.085B, Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 89 bps to 10.7%, and Adjusted EPS increased 48.1% to $1.17; backlog ended at $7.760B, underscoring visibility into demand .
- Mix effects included $67.9M of storm restoration and $61.5M from acquired businesses; organic revenue growth was 7.4% after excluding acquired revenues not owned in both periods .
- Management issued FY2026 revenue growth guidance of 10–13% and Q1 FY2026 guidance for revenues of $1.16–$1.20B, Adjusted EBITDA $130.6–$140.6M, and diluted EPS $1.50–$1.73; no storm restoration or BEAD revenue is included in FY2026 outlook .
- A new $150M share repurchase authorization adds capital return optionality; combined with raised FY2026 revenue outlook (to 12.5–15.4%) in May, guidance and buyback comprise the principal stock reaction catalysts post-quarter .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong growth and profitability: Q4 revenues up 13.9% to $1.085B; Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 10.7%; Adjusted EPS up 48.1% to $1.17 .
- Strategic pipeline building: management highlighted Verizon awards (maintenance and fiber-to-the-home), a ramp in Lumen long-haul “over-pull” fiber work, and robust hyperscaler dialogues, positioning Dycom for AI-driven long-haul builds in 2026+ .
- Cash conversion improved: Q4 operating cash flow of $328.2M; DSO declined to 114 days from 120 days YoY; free cash flow focus reiterated for FY2026 .
Quote: “We delivered strong growth in revenues, profitability and cash flows… we are optimistic about the prospects for our business and our industry” – Dan Peyovich, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Weather and mix complexities: quarter included $67.9M of storm restoration revenue, complicating organic comparisons and adding volatility to quarterly cadence .
- Margin sensitivity to investment: SG&A has been growing to support scale and acquisitions; management acknowledged reinvestment may temper near-term operating leverage while positioning for multiyear growth .
- Estimates context unavailable: S&P Global consensus data could not be retrieved for comparison this quarter; investors should rely on company guidance until estimates can be refreshed (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates error].
Financial Results
Segment/customer mix and concentration
Key Performance Indicators
Non-GAAP adjustments called out by management included stock-based compensation modification tied to CEO transition, acquisition integration costs, and loss on debt extinguishment; these are reconciled in the press release tables .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic positioning: “We believe Dycom remains uniquely positioned to capitalize on the significant tailwinds… our strategy remains consistent… comprehensive footprint… highest level of service” .
- AI and long-haul fiber outlook: “Customer dialogue around AI digital infrastructure needs remains robust… the most significant revenue opportunities for the long haul market will occur in calendar 2026 and beyond” .
- FTTH momentum: “Our customers… added more than 35 million incremental passings… we believe fiber to the home will continue to be a significant growth driver… awarded new markets for Verizon” .
- Capital allocation and FCF: “We remain committed to a balanced approach… organic growth augmented by M&A and share repurchases… improving free cash flow continues to be a priority” .
- Quality as a brand: “We strive every day to be a partner that delivers quality… from day 1 to day done… we deliver on our commitments” .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance basis clarified: FY2026 +10–13% growth is off reported FY2025, which included $114.2M storm; FY2026 excludes storm and BEAD revenue .
- Verizon awards nature: mix of maintenance and FTTH; not related to prior Fiber One program .
- Margin outlook: No observed downward pressure; operating leverage expected as growth continues, with reinvestment into innovation and growth where appropriate .
- Organic vs storm cadence: Storm work occurred throughout Q4; organic trajectory tied to >35M incremental passings and emerging hyperscaler projects .
- AI fiber opportunity breadth: Work moving beyond over-pull to new routes; conversations with hyperscalers are increasingly active .
- Free cash flow and leverage: DSO improved by 6 days YoY; net leverage ~1.5x, supporting growth and capital allocation flexibility .
- Wireless revenue share: ~7% of Q4 revenues; focus on equipment replacement ramp .
- CapEx: Q4 gross ~$68M; FY2026 net CapEx outlook $220–$230M .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 FY2025 (EPS, revenue, EBITDA, target price, recommendation) were unavailable due to retrieval limitations at the time of analysis; as a result, formal “vs. consensus” comparisons cannot be presented for this quarter. Investors should anchor on company-reported results and guidance until estimates are refreshed [GetEstimates error].
- Where estimates are referenced in future updates, we will default to S&P Global data and clearly indicate beats/misses.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Demand visibility is strong: $7.760B backlog, improved Q4 cash conversion (DSO to 114), and raised FY2026 revenue outlook (12.5–15.4%) support multi-quarter execution and top-line expansion .
- AI-driven long-haul fiber is a multiyear TAM: early work underway (Lumen over-pull), with route mile announcements from other operators; management expects larger revenue contribution beginning calendar 2026 .
- FTTH remains the core growth engine: >35M passings added in 2024 across customers and expanded Verizon awards point to sustained deployment velocity into FY2026/2030 .
- Mix tailwinds and volatility: Storm restoration ($67.9M in Q4) boosted the quarter, but normalized FY2026 outlook excludes storm, sharpening the lens on underlying growth drivers .
- Margin trajectory constructive: EBITDA margin improved YoY (10.7% vs 9.8%); management sees no downward pressure, with operating leverage possible as growth scales, albeit with reinvestment into innovation and capacity .
- Capital return and balance sheet: New $150M buyback authorization alongside low net leverage (~1.5x) and ample liquidity ($695M) provide optionality for shareholder returns and growth investment .
- Near-term trading implications: Q1 FY2026 guide implies continued revenue/margin strength; monitor AI fiber award cadence, FTTH build velocity, and update to BEAD timing for catalysts; lack of consensus comparison this quarter suggests price action will key off guidance, backlog, and capital return announcements .